Bush in the polls: WYSIWYG

Kerry seems to have pulled even in all the tracking polls, and while Bush is at 49% in a couple of them, he is under 47% (incumbent dead zone) in the others. Either way, Bush will be lucky to actually poll a higher percentage on Election Day, while Kerry, as a challenger, is likely to improve a point or two.

Latest Tracking Polls
ABC News LV: Bush 49, Kerry 48 (10/24-27)
Rasmussen: Bush 49.5, Kerry 47.9 (10/26-28)
TIPP 2-Way: Kerry 46, Bush 46 (10/25-28)
Zogby: Kerry 47, Bush 47 (10/26-28)

There are no Battleground states in which Bush has trended upward this week. I now think Kerry will win all Gore states (including Iowa, Wisconsin, and New Mexico), plus Ohio, Florida, and New Hampshire, for a total of 311 Electoral Votes.

Same prediction is here.
Check out this analysis of OH, PA, FL, and MI here.

You can help GOTV in Battleground states by calling voters on Election Day.