Electoral College Tie Scenarios

From JFH

Are flying around the web today. Here, too.

I'd say, the most straightforward are these, in descending order of probability:

1. Kerry wins all the Gore 2000 states, plus New Hampshire and Nevada.
2. Kerry wins all the Gore 2000 states, plus New Hampshire and West Virginia.
3. Kerry wins all the Gore 2000 states, plus Nevada and Colorado ballot measure passes, apportioning the state’s EVs based on popular vote, handing Kerry four of the state’s nine EVs.

That doesn't take away from my longstanding Kerry EV formula:

Gore 2000 states + (Ohio OR Florida) = Kerry wins.

BTW, good news from Ohio today.